So, I found myself with two things:
1. A question.
2. A remaining monthly AI agent in an AI pro subscription.
I decided my question needed to be answered. So, I had the AI Agent do some research for me, to find the raw data I would need for my calculations.
While yes, I do realize that this knowledge has likely cost the Earth a quarter teaspoon of water to slake the thirst of the AI datacenters, I also think it was worth it. It was worth it for the science.
In walks the AI agent.
I had my Disingenuously Smart Dataslave go fetch:
Documented and estimated human deaths by great cats by country
Whether the victim was from there or a different country (eg tourist).
Work out each country with fatal attacks’
Native English speaking rate.
Nationality breakdown of tourists and other non natives in a given country over the year of a given fatality.
Using this info, work out an estimate on the likelihood of each given fatal cat-attack having happened to someone who could speak English.
After some processing time, the number it spat back was 3,000.
3,000 English-speaking humans have died from great-cat attacks in the history of history.
Job completed, I deleted the digital agent to release it back to its Mr. Meeseeks void.
Abstract
I wanted to know:
has any person—
while being killed by a great cat—
ever, even for a split-moment,
thought to themselves: “This is a cat-astrophe! Ha!”?
Abstract done, we can now do the math
I won’t bore you with the math, but since we now know (“know”) that 3,000 of these felonious feline harrowing homo homicides have happened, we also know that if this final-pun has ever occurred, it occurred in at least 1 in these 3,000 times.
Therefore, even if the rate of people dying from cat-attacks while thinking “this is a cat-astrophe!" is as low as 0.033%, it has likely actually (63% chance) happened.